Category
OPEC+ after the UAE exit: the Saudi–Russian axis and quotas decoupled from physical exports, April–September 2026 ABSTRACT This piece examines how OPEC+ coordination changed politically during the 2026 Hormuz crisis. The United…
Türkiye’s diplomatic position in the 2026 Gulf crisis and the energy interests behind it, February–September 2026 ABSTRACT This piece traces how Türkiye’s position in the 2026 Gulf crisis changed between February and…
China’s energy dependence and diplomatic restraint in the Hormuz crisis, March–September 2026 ABSTRACT The war that began on 28 February 2026 threatened China’s Iranian and Saudi crude supply at once, yet Beijing’s…
Why the Saudi–Iranian channel survived the 2026 war: interests, attribution and restraint, March 2023–September 2026 ABSTRACT The Saudi–Iranian diplomatic relationship restored through Chinese mediation in March 2023 did not break during the…
Iran’s diplomatic and coercive channels and the credibility of its commitments, June–September 2026 ABSTRACT This piece examines Iranian crisis decision-making between June and September 2026 under Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader in…
How the domestic cost of the Iran war shaped the timing of US diplomacy, August–September 2026 ABSTRACT This piece examines how the domestic cost of the Iran war, transmitted through petrol prices,…
Security Council politics on the Gulf and Red Sea fronts, March–September 2026 ABSTRACT Between March and September 2026 the UN Security Council adopted two resolutions on the Gulf and Red Sea fronts…
Qatar, Oman, Egypt and Türkiye in the technical politics of Hormuz and the Red Sea, August–September 2026 ABSTRACT While US–Iran political negotiations ran indirectly through intermediaries in September 2026, Qatar, Oman, Egypt…
Russia’s oil and gas revenues in the Iran war: scenario projections against realised budget data, March–September 2026 ABSTRACT The claim that the 2026 Iran war is an economic windfall for Russia rests…
Temporary Protection as a Durable Legal Category ABSTRACT The Syrian population under temporary protection in Türkiye has fallen from 3.54 million in 2022 to 2.26 million in mid-2026. This paper argues that…
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